Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.144492 0.154334 0.164587 0.176083 0.188631 0.201936 0.217140
2025-12-07 0.126668 0.141048 0.156854 0.175599 0.197325 0.221840 0.251772
2025-12-14 0.116595 0.133391 0.152517 0.176067 0.204508 0.238030 0.280955
2025-12-21 0.107393 0.125433 0.146539 0.173305 0.206702 0.247475 0.301771
2025-12-28 0.100681 0.119675 0.142419 0.172005 0.209988 0.257832 0.323836
2026-01-04 0.096792 0.116934 0.141577 0.174408 0.217715 0.273931 0.354211
2026-01-11 0.091965 0.112628 0.138373 0.173378 0.220645 0.283633 0.376376
2026-01-18 0.087298 0.108202 0.134670 0.171316 0.221851 0.290817 0.395260
2026-01-25 0.082833 0.103767 0.130656 0.168496 0.221679 0.295859 0.411156
2026-02-01 0.081099 0.102793 0.131100 0.171668 0.229913 0.313183 0.446528
2026-02-08 0.077763 0.099497 0.128221 0.169995 0.231029 0.320085 0.466292
2026-02-15 0.075274 0.097215 0.126581 0.169924 0.234374 0.330382 0.492091
2026-02-22 0.071730 0.093374 0.122658 0.166428 0.232509 0.332737 0.505392
2026-03-01 0.069381 0.091095 0.120820 0.165865 0.235018 0.342020 0.531048
2026-03-08 0.067523 0.089412 0.119728 0.166307 0.239023 0.353844 0.561990
2026-03-15 0.064883 0.086511 0.116751 0.163739 0.238118 0.357554 0.578806
2026-03-22 0.062817 0.084348 0.114746 0.162531 0.239261 0.364649 0.602276
2026-03-29 0.061860 0.083742 0.114985 0.164764 0.246050 0.381659 0.645736
2026-04-05 0.060081 0.081866 0.113251 0.163807 0.247493 0.389492 0.672299
2026-04-12 0.058148 0.079694 0.110987 0.161890 0.247195 0.394186 0.693037
2026-04-19 0.056136 0.077340 0.108360 0.159268 0.245537 0.396296 0.708679
2026-04-26 0.055646 0.077239 0.109160 0.162217 0.253595 0.416588 0.763901
2026-05-03 0.054068 0.075443 0.107275 0.160661 0.253671 0.422028 0.788099